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Exaggerating the risks (Part 13: Ord on Biorisk) - Reflective altruism
https://reflectivealtruism.com/2023/12/29/exaggerating-the-risks-part-13-ord-on-biorisk/
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Toby Ord suggests that humanity faces a 3% risk of existential catastrophe from biological causes in the next 100 years. I review Ord's arguments and argue that they are insufficient to ground this estimate.
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