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Republicans accused Rep. Vicente Gonzalez of supporting gender transitions for children throughout the 2024 election cycle, which he said took a political toll.| The Texas Tribune
In Wisconsin, liberals kept control of the state Supreme Court with Susan's Crawford's 55%-45% win last night; neither of Florida's two House special elections were that close, although GOP performances in these deep red seats was down from what Trump got in them.| Sabato's Crystal Ball
Midterm electorates are smaller, older, and less diverse -- and they often see the non-presidential party improve their share of the House vote.| Sabato's Crystal Ball
The non-presidential party often picks up House seats in midterms, and as a part of it, that party’s incumbents rarely lose in midterms.| Sabato's Crystal Ball
During the three Trump era presidential elections, fewer than 30 of the current House districts would have supported either party at some point. Those districts are, in aggregate, likely to play a large role in determining the House's majority in the 2026 elections.| Sabato's Crystal Ball
In the Crystal Ball's first look at the 2026 Senate races, we find that Republicans are strong, but not prohibitive, favorites to keep the chamber. Early Toss-up states include Georgia and Michigan, which are Democratic-held, and North Carolina, which Republicans hold. Democrats will probably make a serious attempt at Maine, although it starts off as Leans Republican.| Sabato's Crystal Ball
