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Sabato's Crystal Ball
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Lessons from History: House Incumbents from the Non-Presidential Party Rarely Lose Reelection in Midterms - Sabato's Crystal Ball
https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/lessons-from-history-house-incumbents-from-the-non-presidential-party-rarely-lose-reelection-in-midterms/
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2026 house
The non-presidential party often picks up House seats in midterms, and as a part of it, that party’s incumbents rarely lose in midterms.
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