Exaggerating the risks Archives - Reflective altruism
Exaggerating the risks (Part 17: Biorisk, taking stock)| Reflective altruism
Exaggerating the risks (Part 17: Biorisk, taking stock)| Reflective altruism
This post begins a two-part investigation into biorisk from LLMs. I argue that a recent GovAI report provides limited support for existential biorisk from LLMs.| Reflective altruism
Toby Ord suggests that humanity faces a 3% risk of existential catastrophe from biological causes in the next 100 years. I review Ord's arguments and argue that they are insufficient to ground this estimate.| Reflective altruism
Can existing arguments by effective altruists ground high estimates of existential biorisk? I consider three estimates provided by Piers Millett and Andrew Snyder-Beattie.| Reflective altruism
This post concludes my sub-series on existential biorisk by drawing lessons from the previous discussion| Reflective altruism
This post continues my investigation of biorisk from LLMs by looking at a recent redteaming study from the RAND Corporation.| Reflective altruism
I review Wlil MacAskill's arguments in What we owe the future for high levels of existential biorisk. I argue that they are insufficient.| Reflective altruism
