As a physician, I hang my hat on certainty, where a certain medical issue can be solved with a certain medication. But when it comes to real life, especially as […] The post How dry eyes helped me embrace MS uncertainty appeared first on Multiple Sclerosis News Today.| Multiple Sclerosis News Today – The Web's Daily Resource for Multiple Scler...
Note: this is an updated version of an older post. Limerence upends life. Whatever your situation when a new LO appears in your world, everything changes. The disruption is probably most severe if the limerent is already in a long-term relationship and the limerence was unexpected. A common lament for limerents in this situation is: […] The post On not knowing what you want first appeared on Living with Limerence.| Living with Limerence
CivicScience engages directly with consumers, collecting over one million survey responses daily, to turn real-time insights into high-performing advertising campaigns. See how leading brands use CivicScience to drive campaign performance here. Amidst the current political and financial climate, understanding how consumers are feeling–and spending–is pivotal information for brands, advertisers, and media partners looking to cut [...] Read More... from Is Consumer Financial Health Set for ...| CivicScience
CivicScience engages directly with consumers, collecting over one million survey responses daily, to turn real-time insights into high-performing advertising campaigns. See how leading brands use CivicScience to drive campaign performance here. The latest biweekly reading of the Penta-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (ESI) rose by 0.2 points, from 31.7 to 31.9, at the start of the [...] Read More... from Economic Sentiment Rises Slightly as the U.S. Government Shuts Down The post Economi...| CivicScience
Through the throngand past the chatterwe slipped into a smallblue sitting roomand there at the edgeof the chaos, she told mewhat the doctor said.The world becamewhirlpool, no shorein sight, andwe met in a perfectstillness, holdingto each other, ourfriendship like driftwood,no way to steer, butfor that moment, wefloated, floated! no small thing asall around usuncertainty crestedand […]| A Hundred Falling Veils
Students often perceive calling as a clear, linear process, expecting a definitive moment of clarity. However, doubt is intrinsic to vocation, as revealed in Maryam's narrative from the Qur'an, emphasizing the importance of understanding the "caller." Accepting a calling often involves navigating through fear and uncertainty, ultimately leading to spiritual strength and clarity.| vocation matters
Adam Tauman Kalai (Open AI), Ofir Nachum (Open AI), Santosh S. Vempala (Georgia Tech), and Edwin Zhang (Open AI) wrote a paper titled Why Language Models Hallucinate (4 September 2025).| Articles of Interest
A bit of a theme in my posts a few years ago was my 'battle' with the 'classic' trend followers, which can perhaps be summarised as:| This Blog is Systematic
Programming note: This post has been in draft since ... 2016!| This Blog is Systematic
@investingidiocy looking for my favorite statistics wonk to critique this. https://t.co/xWQMEl5LUU| This Blog is Systematic
Sports streaming subscriptions are on the rise. With economic concerns, will this trend continue?| CivicScience
CivicScience clients and partners have access to our millions of daily survey responses, allowing them to generate actionable, forward-looking strategies. See what you’re missing here. The winter holidays might feel far off, with Thanksgiving just over 14 weeks away, but holiday shopping has already started for some. CivicScience data show 35% of holiday shoppers report [...]Read More... from The State of Holiday Shopping Today Amid Tariff-Driven Uncertainty| CivicScience
Recently here at Win Vector LLC we have been delivering good client outcomes using the Stan MCMC sampler. It has allowed us to infer deep business factors, instead of being limited surface KPIs (ke…| Win Vector LLC
by Nic Lewis The determination of equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS)—the long-term warming response to doubled atmospheric CO2 concentrations—remains one of the most crucial yet challenging problems in climate science. Recent exchanges in the literature have highlighted both the complexity of … Continue reading → The post Addressing misconceptions about Climate Sensitivity research: a Response to recent Criticisms appeared first on Climate Etc..| Climate Etc.
By Doug Garnett & JP Castlin, July 2025 In the May 23rd edition of JP Castlin’s Strategy in Praxis newsletter we suggested businesses often face a type of uncertainty JP named “dynamic uncertainty” — a unique uncertainty revealed when we understand the inherent complexity of doing business. Dynamic uncertainty, though, is missing from the canon of uncertainty classifications. In that article we noted: …dynamic uncertainty keeps changing. Experiments lessen uncertainty in the moment ...| Doug Garnett’s Blog
In the May 23rd edition of JP Castlin’s Strategy in Praxis newsletter we suggested businesses often face a type of uncertainty JP named "dynamic uncertainty"| Doug Garnett’s Blog
Doug Garnett and JP Castlin wrote a blog post titled Complexity: The Dynamic Uncertainty of Emergence (1 August 2025).| Articles of Interest
paths are made by walkingThis aphorism is also found in German as follows:Wege entstehen dadurch, dass wir sie gehen| Jayson Salazar Rodriguez | @jdsalaro | Blog
An objection against trying to reduce suffering is that we cannot predict whether our actions will reduce or increase suffering in the long term. Relatedly, some have argued that we are clueless about the effects that any realistic action would have on total welfare, and this cluelessness, it has been claimed, undermines our reason to... Continue Reading →| Magnus Vinding
This is only a glimpse of the data available to CivicScience clients. Discover more data. CivicScience data continues to reveal a steady decline in alcohol consumption among U.S. adults aged 21 and over. Whether it’s Dry January, trying mocktails or non-alcoholic beers, or scaling back during the holidays, Americans are drinking less—and that trend shows no [...]Read More... from On the Rocks: How Shifting Priorities Are Cooling Summer Drinking — and Fueling a Rise in Soda and Cannabis| CivicScience
This is only a glimpse of the data available to CivicScience clients. Discover more data. As summer unfolds under the shadow of uncertainty, American attitudes toward the season are shifting in subtle but telling ways. Among the youngest adults – those who helped define a ‘Brat Summer’ in 2024, marked by rebellious energy and unapologetic self-interest [...]Read More... from From ‘Brat Summer’ to Quiet Coping – How Young Americans Are Prioritizing Summer 2025| CivicScience
On the Ground at Cannes: There’s always a certain kind of energy on the ground at Cannes. But this year, it feels as much like a reckoning with what creativity must become as it is a celebration of a year of groundbreaking work. Yes, we’re honoring culture-shifting campaigns. But more than that, we’re witnessing a […]| FleishmanHillard
I’m speaking at the UCL Languages of the Future conference on 6th June, presenting a paper titled “Are we even talking about tomorrow? Uncertainty, agency, and the encounter with the su…| matt finch / mechanical dolphin
Sometimes, life feels out of control. The future is uncertain. We're not sure how to cope. Most of us like to feel in control. We like things to be predictable. We like it when we can plan something and make it happen. We like it when other people do what we want them to do. We like things […] The post When Life Feels Out of Control, Focus on Yourself appeared first on Dr. Sharon Martin, LCSW .| Dr. Sharon Martin, LCSW
The point of such inner exploration is lost on emotionally immature people (EIPs). They’re not looking for self-discovery; they crave certainty and they insist on being right.| New Harbinger Publications, Inc
Uncertainty results in unpredictability, and two types of things cause unpredictability: novelty and complexity. Novelty uncertainty is when you can’t predict something because it has never been done before. You might not know know the existing conditions, all the actions you can take, how those actions might change conditions, and/or what the possible outcomes are. […]| Reaction Wheel
Last week I had the pleasure of joining “2 Vikings” for a podcast interview. The 2 Vikings are Frank Nilsen and Stian Nicolaysen, two Norwegian podcasters and successful entrepreneurs (…| I-System Trend Following
かな (Kana), かも(Kamo), 気がする(Kigasuru), 思う(Omou) and more. Explore a variety of Japanese expressions that show diffeent levels of uncertainty.| Tofugu
