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The Illusion of Skill and How to Make Better Predictions - CLIPPING CHAINS
https://clippingchains.com/2024/05/20/how-to-make-better-predictions/
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Tagged with:
decision making
psychology
bias
stock market
behavior
decisions
cognitive bias
predictions
behavioral economics
contentment
base rate fallacy
illusion of skill
illusion of validity
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Even experts struggle to make accurate predictions. What does research suggest can be done to improve our visions of the future?