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The Illusion of Skill and How to Make Better Predictions - CLIPPING CHAINS
https://clippingchains.com/2024/05/20/how-to-make-better-predictions/
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Tagged with:
decision making
psychology
bias
stock market
behavior
decisions
cognitive bias
predictions
behavioral economics
contentment
base rate fallacy
illusion of skill
illusion of validity
Even experts struggle to make accurate predictions. What does research suggest can be done to improve our visions of the future?
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