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The scope of longtermism (Part 2: Rapid diminution) - Reflective altruism
https://reflectivealtruism.com/2024/10/18/the-scope-of-longtermism-part-2-rapid-diminution/
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academic papers
economic development
persistence
persistence studies
rapid diminution
scope-limiting factors
Rapid diminution occurs when the probabilities of large long-term impacts diminish more quickly than their sizes increase. Rapid diminution tends to shrink the scope of longtermism.
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