On the eve of the election, Focaldata in partnership with Prolific can reveal our final seat forecast of the 2024 general election. We find Labour on course for a 238-seat majority, a record-breaking result that sees the party winning 444 seats, based on a 40% share of the national vote (-1.4pp since our last drop). The Conservatives are expected to win in 108 constituencies (-2 since our last drop), based on a 23.2% vote share (+0.2pp).
