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The Sahm rule: I created a monster - by Claudia Sahm
https://stayathomemacro.substack.com/p/the-sahm-rule-i-created-a-monster
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The Sahm rule is a widely followed indicator of recessions. It's gotten a lot of attention from experts who use it to argue we're not in recession and others who weaponize it to say one is coming.
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