Several people have posted predictions of the future lately, see Scott Daniel and Ege Tamay. I want to offer my own prediction: April 2025 (when this post was written) Today is April 2025, AIs are useful for a variety of tasks that you would typically do at a computer. They can write code, emails, and manage some very simple agentic workflows as long as they are not too complex. May 2025 Criminal organizations who currently run commonly seen scams start using AI to increase their productivity...|
Agentic Horizon Today’s best machine learning models have a high degree of intelligence, but very little agency. Reasoning models like DeepSeek R1 and o3 can solve tasks at an increasingly high level of difficulty across a wide variety of domains, often far exceeding the capability of any single human. But they can’t break down a fairly unambiguous task that would require a year of dedicated work, sit down, and deliver a solution. (An example of such a task: Write me a performant simulato...|
TL;DR I made an RNN-T based speech recognition system that runs in the browser using TensorflowJS. You can try the demo here: https://rnnt.jakepoz.com/ Fair warning: The quality ain’t gonna make it up on any leaderboards okay? The full code is available here: https://github.com/jakepoz/rnnt Basic RNN-T architecture implemented cleanly from scratch Jasper-like convolutional audio encoder for easy streaming Simple streaming featurizer that works the same in PyTorch and TFJS. Runs the entire m...|
The leading MMORPG of the time has lessons for how social tech phenomena may progress. We had a big early centralization, and a larger second centralization, and later lots of nostalgia, but it’s all so fractured now. What’s next for social media and our institutions? Social media is a new technological force shaping our society. Can we find any examples in history that will give us clues as to how things will develop? Yes, the humble MMORPG was one of the earliest online social networks ...|
A good product or service has to do more than just deliver value to a customer, it has to appeal to some deeper underlying desire that was put into our human nature to ensure our long-term survival. In fact, all successful products and product categories are fundamentally hacking evolution in this way. Let me demonstrate. The easiest place to start seeing this pattern is in simple consumer goods. The food industry makes us desire food of previously unheard-of caloric density. That’s hacking...|
Our society is grappling with the meaning of our fundamental rights in the present day: freedom of speech vs freedom of reach, the right to privacy in a world of social media, etc. You also hear calls for a new set of rights, beyond the set given to us by Enlightenment thinkers generations ago. These new rights are based on physical goods and services: the “right to housing”, the “right to health care”, etc. Rights to goods and services are a distinct entity from the rights that we kn...|
Tesla’s AI Day 2022 presentation revealed a lot of new developments to be excited about, and those may not be what you think they are. Also, they may soon get bogged down in their training methodology for Full Self Driving. The Optimus presentation might have appeared lacklustre (bots were slow and unsteady), but the actuator designs they presented are awesome! (and they will nail the software eventually) Tesla's new rotary and linear actuators.There has been a distinct evolution of robot a...|
Objective I’ve been thinking about morality as it relates to the future of AI. In order to clarify my thoughts, I imagined a discussion with Sam Harris, who has covered this topic in numerous podcasts and talks. This fictional dialogue follows: --- Jake Hello Sam, today I’d like to attempt to convince you about a few points regarding the morality of developing AI. I’m not sure that we stand in exactly the same place on this issue, but I hope that in the context of this conversation, our...|
The original Blade Runner showed us that two replicants can fall in love. This makes sense, because a replicant is almost indistinguishable from a naturally-born human. Made with the same biological building blocks, they should have the capability for the same emotions as humans. Blade Runner 2049’s main character, the more advanced model replicant K, has a different love interest: a “virtual” holographic girlfriend by the name of Joi. Can the human emotion of love exist between two suc...|
I program my home computer, beam myself into the future| www.jakepoz.com
I program my home computer, beam myself into the future| www.jakepoz.com
I program my home computer, beam myself into the future| www.jakepoz.com