Login
Roast topics
Find topics
Find it!
From:
Reflective altruism
(Uncensored)
subscribe
The scope of longtermism (Part 3: Washing out) - Reflective altruism
https://reflectivealtruism.com/2024/12/12/the-scope-of-longtermism-part-3-washing-out/
links
backlinks
Tagged with:
forecasting
persistence
cluelessness
tetlock
washing out
Roast topics
Find topics
Roast it!
Washing out occurs when there is significant cancellation between possible positive and negative consequences of our actions when taking expectations.