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The scope of longtermism (Part 3: Washing out) - Reflective altruism
https://reflectivealtruism.com/2024/12/12/the-scope-of-longtermism-part-3-washing-out/
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forecasting
persistence
cluelessness
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washing out
Washing out occurs when there is significant cancellation between possible positive and negative consequences of our actions when taking expectations.
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